LVIII Reunión Anual de la AAEP
Evolución del bipartidismo (PJ y UCR) en votos y bancas
ejecutivo nacional con bajo apoyo electoral con un legislativo nacional fragmentado y opositor y gobernadores fuertes.
Fortaleza electoral relativa
Regime | # | Provinces |
---|---|---|
Plurality | 20 | Buenos Aires, Catamarca, Córdoba, Chubut, Entre Ríos, Formosa, Jujuy, La Pampa, La Rioja, Mendoza, Misiones, Neuquén, Río Negro, Salta, San Juan, San Luis, Santa Cruz, Santa Fe, Santiago del Estero, Tucumán |
Majority with two-round system | 2 | CABA, Tierra del Fuego |
Conditional two-round system | 2 | Corrientes, Chaco |
Reelection | # | Provinces |
---|---|---|
No reelection | 2 | Mendoza, Santa Fe |
Reelection (1-term only) | 17 | Buenos Aires, CABA, Córdoba, Corrientes, Chaco, Chubut, Entre Ríos, Jujuy, La Pampa, La Rioja, Misiones, Neuquén, Río Negro, San Luis, Santiago del Estero, Tierra del Fuego, Tucumán |
Reelection (2-terms only) | 2 | Salta, San Juan |
Indefinite | 2 | Catamarca, Formosa, Santa Cruz |
Year | 1983 | 1989 | 1995 | 1999 | 2003 | 2007 | 2011 | 2015 | 2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# of non-concurrent | 0 | 24 | 10 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
non-concurrent (%) | 0 | 100 | 42 | 75 | 91 | 64 | 55 | 45 | 82 |
President vote share (%) | 51.75 | 47.49 | 49.94 | 48.37 | 24.45 | 45.29 | 54.11 | 34.15 | 48.24 |
Margin of victory (%) | 11.59 | 15.04 | 20.64 | 10.10 | 2.21 | 23.04 | 37.30 | 2.93 | 7.96 |
# of competitors | 12 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
ENP | 2.32 | 2.95 | 2.74 | 2.56 | 5.65 | 3.41 | 2.91 | 3.31 | 2.50 |
reelec_P | 2003 | 2007 | 2011 | 2015 | 2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
No | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Yes | 17 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
reelec_N | 2003 | 2007 | 2011 | 2015 | 2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
No | 16 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 12 |
Yes | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 11 |
Reelecciones y escala de poder de gobernadores
Effective electoral competition
Limitación de oferta partidaria sub-nacional
¿Nacionalización o desnacionalización?
Electoral strength: Presidents and governors
Presidential vote share: Pooled OLS
Presidential vote share: Fixed-effects (within)